Posts Tagged ‘Obama’

Contingency Thinking

Wednesday, May 4th, 2011

“In preparing for battle I have always found that plans are useless, but planning is indispensable.”                                                                                          ~Dwight Eisenhower

Meta-planning

As more information comes to light about the Special Ops mission in Abbottabad, Pakistan we’re reminded of the value of effective contingency planning in conducting high-risk maneuvers. Military analysts will someday reconstruct in detail the planning measures taken by the JSOC team, and we’ll learn how this team of specialists succeeded despite the challenges they faced.

For now we can only speculate about the risks and uncertainties facing the planners at various decision points. But we do know that the mission’s tactical planners had to consider two questions at every juncture: What can go wrong here, and what do we do about it?

These aren’t the only questions the planners had to pursue. They have to question the intelligence they’re using and they have to examine their own assumptions. Guarding against groupthink is a first order consideration. These “meta-planning” aspects of the exercise are as vital as formulating the action plan itself.

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In Choosing a Leader

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

Give me six hours to chop down a tree and I will spend the first four sharpening the axe. -Abraham Lincoln

The U.S. electorate is about to make its choice. The next president will be tested by an epic global economic downturn and a domestic crisis in leadership.  Even before he takes office, he’ll need to inspire confidence in his approach. He’ll have to build a consensus with leaders of the opposition and will have to choose some of them to join his team.  Governing in this environment will demand extraordinary leadership skills—sound judgment, character depth and an even temperament. 

I’ve been reflecting lately on the virtues of leadership. I’ve thought about how heads of state in the U.S. and around the world have met challenges as vexing as these.    

I keep returning to Jim Collins’ popular book, Good to Great. He analyzes how companies go from being merely good performers to achieving sustainable great performance.  In identifying success factors, he noticed that truly great companies were led by what he termed “Level 5 leaders”—individuals who possess a rare and seemingly contradictory blend of intense drive and humility. Collins observed that these leaders demonstrated an abiding commitment to the long term success of their companies rather than advancing their own personal agendas.

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